We begin this week with a solemn oath: this will not be another article about those asinine A.I.G. bonuses. For when you get down to it, what is left to say or write that has yet to be said or written?
Nada
Gar nichts
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OK, you get the point.
So just what is this piece about?
Well, how's about Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iran and -- just possibly -- a teeny, tiny breath of fresh air?
"How in the name of all that's logical is this even remotely possible"? I can hear you asking. Your misgivings are completely understandable. For after all, Pakistan is a political powder keg sitting astride a nuclear arsenal; Afghanistan, that "graveyard of empire," is like something out of Pirandello -- "35 Tribes in Search of an Authority"; and Iran . . . well, what can be said about that charter member of the "Axis of Evil" that is even remotely optimistic?
Looking around the regional chessboard, we find the following moves being made:
A week ago, President Obama released a special video message for all those celebrating Noruz, which marks the arrival of Spring and the beginning of the New Year for millions in Iran and around the world. After wishing the Iranian people a happy New Year and reminding them of his administration's continuing commitment to "a future of honest and respectful diplomacy," he addressed the nation's leaders directly: "You too have a choice. The United States wants the Islamic Republic of Iran to take its rightful place in the community of nations. You have that right -- but it comes with real responsibilities, and that place cannot be reached through terror or arms, but rather through peaceful actions that demonstrate the true greatness of the Iranian people and civilization . . ." In his response to what was without question a proffered olive branch, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said, "They chant the slogan of change, but no change is seen in practice . . . . He [Obama] insulted the Islamic Republic of Iran from the first day. If you are right that change has come, where is that change? Make it clear for us what has changed?" Khamenei also "joked" that he hoped that the translation of his remarks from Farsi into English would not be given over to "Zionist translators." So where oh where is this "infinitesimally tiny breath of fresh air?" Right in front of our face, that's where. It turns out that yesterday, the Islamic Republic of Iran announced that it will "join the United States in dispatching official delegations" to two international conferences on Afghanistan. For its part, the Obama administration has "welcomed Teheran's intended participation" at one in the Netherlands, and likely a second in Moscow, which is opening in just a few hours from now. Amazing! Iran and the United States potentially on the same side of an issue? What gives? What "gives" can be summed up in one word: drugs. Simply stated, the Islamic Republic of Iran has a terrible -- and growing -- drug problem; a problem it shares in common with the United States. A week ago, Irani drug enforcement officials seized 4.5 tons of opium, hashish and other drugs from nine alleged smugglers in two cities near Teheran. Two days later, police in eastern Iran (near the Afghanistan border) stopped a pickup truck packed with a quarter ton of opium hidden under the vehicle's floorboards. Moreover, in the past two years, the drug war in Iran has cost the government in excess of $600 million, with approximately 3,700 security officials killed and 11,000 maimed in more than 12,000 clashes between traffickers and narcs -- this according to a United Nations report. Additionally, in the single year between 2006 and 2007, drug seizures jumped 35% for heroin, 37% for opium and 52% for hashish. Total drug seizures for 2007 alone were in excess of 618 tons. Drug addiction has quickly become Iran's number one public health problem. Of late, in an attempt to hamstring the smugglers, Iran has been digging canals, raising earthen berms and laying barbed wire. But still the drugs flow in "sometimes strapped to camels crossing the desert, sometimes protected by well-armed gangsters equipped with satellite technology . . ." In this, Iran and the United States have overlapping interests. It is part of the United States' program to get Afghani farmers to stop growing poppies -- the sale of which funds the Taliban -- and start growing edibles. If the United States succeeds in its goal, Iran benefits. If Iran realizes a dramatic lessening in the amount of drugs smuggled across its eastern border, the United States gains. How to do this? By creating a more stable Afghanistan. That's how. "Iran and the United States have a fundamental point of interest in the region vis-a-vis Afghanistan," said Sadegh Zibakalam, a professor of political science at Teheran University. "Both want to see a moderate, Democratic, stable Afghanistan because if there is chaos in Afghanistan, it means opium in Iran and Afghan refugees in Iran." Towards the end of stabilizing Afghanistan, diplomats from Iran and the United States are going to be meeting with one another at a conference on that very subject to be held in the Hague next week. Up until now, the Iranis have steadfastly stayed away from international diplomatic conferences that involved the U.S. Moreover, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization conference on Afghanistan, which opens today in Moscow, will be attended by the Irani Deputy Foreign Minister, and the American Deputy Assistant Secretary of State. And while these two events may not represent a hurricane of change, they are that infinitesimally tiny breath of fresh air that can give one hope. It is true that many Iranis are "wary of giving America a possible public-relations victory without getting anything in return," as reported in today's Los Angeles Times. A recent editorial in the conservative Sisat Rooz newspaper complained that "Whenever they need us, they use our influence; but as they reach their objectives, they treat us as a major threat in the region." Nothing new here. What is new -- and hopeful -- however, is that some Iranian hard-liners have begun to welcome the idea of cooperating with the U.S. and NATO in "helping to secure Afghanistan, calling it a victory for Iranian steadfastness." One Irani legislator, Hamid Reza Haji-Babai, went so far as to say that "The more the Islamic Republic of Iran interacts in the regional and international arenas the better. Easing tensions between Iran and the U.S., he said, "can be achieved within these interactions and participation in conferences." This news -- coming from a region that has for so long been rife with fetid stagnation -- could indeed be that infinitesimally tiny breath of fresh area we have been craving. . . ©2009 Kurt F. Stone


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